Gunny Sack
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 73
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 16/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/11/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |