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10

Maqamat

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 79

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 28/07/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark28/07/2024 · OR 81 par28/07C8OR 81C8 @ Hawthorne 22/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark22/08/2024 · OR 82 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 12/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 83 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark12/08/2025 · OR 83 par12/08C7OR 83C8 @ Fairmount Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 6f 124 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 25/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 79 par25/10C8OR 79C7 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 84 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 84 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 6f 126 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 81 par4/07C7OR 81C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 79 · 6f 126 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 79 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 79 par12/09C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Fairmount Park?3rd4th−1
2026-08-01Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-07-04Fairmount Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?1st2nd−1
2025-10-25Fairmount Park?4th6th−2
2025-09-02Fairmount Park?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/072/094/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 37/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20241st1/195%100%+0.05
22/08/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
12/08/20255th7/282%0%-0.82
02/09/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
25/10/20254th15/261%63%+0.02
23/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
04/07/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
01/08/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
12/09/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78