IvyArcIvyArc
6

Red Speedo

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 90

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Fairmount Park 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 58 · 5f Fas 120 · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 58 par14/04C9OR 58C9 @ Fairmount Park 28/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 59 · 5f 120 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 5f110y Gd 118 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 67 par16/05C8OR 67C6 @ Fairmount Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 77 · 6f 118 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 77 par16/06C8OR 77C8 @ Fairmount Park 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 5f110y 118 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 76 · 6f 120 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 76 par18/07C8OR 76C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 82 · 6f 118 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 25/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 85 · 6f 118 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 85 par25/08C8OR 85projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Fairmount Park?1st3rd−2
2026-08-01Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?1st3rd−2
2026-07-07Fairmount Park?5th7th−2
2026-06-16Fairmount Park?6th8th−2
2026-05-30Fairmount Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0430/0518/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 58/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/04/20263rd11/271%67%-0.04
28/04/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
16/05/20261st4/596%100%+0.04
30/05/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
16/06/20266th5/174%17%-0.57
07/07/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
18/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
01/08/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
25/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08