6

Choeur De Mesc

8yo Gelding · 10-10

Fontainebleau · Prix De L'ecole Militaire D'equitation Cross Country Chase · 2m 6f 190y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 18/12/2022 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f87y Gd 15218/12C?C0 @ Pau 11/01/2023 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 15411/01C?C0 @ Pau 19/02/2023 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 15319/02C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 06/08/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Gd 1506/08C?C0 @ Craon 04/09/2023 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m4f83y Sft 1564/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2023-09-04Craon?3rd3rd0
2023-08-06Le Lion D'angers?1st1st0
2023-02-19Pau?3rd3rd0
2023-01-11Pau?2nd2nd0
2022-12-18Pau?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1211/0119/026/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 85/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -14.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20226th14/126%62%+0.35
11/01/20232nd6/168%92%+0.24
19/02/20233rd11/271%75%+0.04
06/08/20231st2/189%100%+0.11
04/09/20233rd11/893%60%-0.33