5
Hillico Conti
9yo Gelding · 11-0
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'ecole Militaire D'equitation Cross Country Chase · 2m 6f 190y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength2%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-11 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-03-11 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-25 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-04-10 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2023-03-15 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · tight 88/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2021 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/03/2023 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/04/2023 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 25/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 11/03/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 07/04/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |