3
Wal Cassandre
8yo Gelding · 11-2
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'ecole Militaire D'equitation Cross Country Chase · 2m 6f 190y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-29 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-04-21 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-04 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-06-10 | Craon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-05-09 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength54%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2022 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/09/2022 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/04/2024 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 09/05/2024 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/06/2024 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 04/08/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 06/04/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.36 |
| 21/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 29/05/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |