1

Meris Chop

3yo Gelding · 11-0

Fontainebleau · Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval Militaire Chase · 2m 1f 196y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

76%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength18%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 14727/03C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 1545/05C?2 @ Auteuil 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 152 · HIGHER CLASS26/052projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-26Auteuil27th5th+2
2026-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0
2026-03-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/035/0526/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 47/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -61.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
05/05/20262nd6/492%75%-0.17
26/05/20267th7/163%40%-0.23