
Meris Chop
3yo Gelding · 11-0
Fontainebleau · Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval Militaire Chase · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 2 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -61.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |