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4

Nossland

3yo Gelding · 10-7

Fontainebleau · Prix De L'association Des Amis Du Musee Du Cheval Militaire Chase · 2m 1f 196y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lignieres 07/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1397/04C5C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 1475/05C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?4th4th0
2026-04-07Lignieres?10th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/045/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +25.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/202610th11/271%18%-0.53
05/05/20264th9/153%25%-0.28