7
Nectar Des Dieux
3yo Gelding · 10-5
Fontainebleau · Prix Du Carrefour De L'obelisque Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Auteuil | ? | −4 | ||
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |