Brandy Creek
4yo Gelding · 11-4
Fontainebleau · Prix Pierre Debroise Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 5 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fontainebleau | 5 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +37.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |