Happy Time
4yo Gelding · 11-7
Fontainebleau · Prix Pierre Debroise Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | 3 | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |