3
Meursault Charme
4yo Gelding · 11-4
Fontainebleau · Prix Pierre Debroise Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength86%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2025-12-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Le Mans | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-07-22 | Les Sables | ? | 2nd | -2th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 50/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 01/12/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 15/12/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 22/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |