4
My Gemme
4yo Filly · 10-12
Fontainebleau · Prix Pierre Debroise Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength21%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 6th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-08-29 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Saint-Malo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-30 | Cholet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 85/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +15.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |