Noctambule
4yo Colt · 10-12
Fontainebleau · Prix Pierre Debroise Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Moulins | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 2 | +6 | ||
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-04-23 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/04/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/05/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 15/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |