IvyArcIvyArc
5

Wheel Of Time

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Fontainebleau · Prix Pierre Debroise Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 142y

#2

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +3.8
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 24/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/05C53 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 147 · HIGHER CLASS10/073projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Dieppe36th1st+5
2025-05-24Dieppe?13th9th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +28.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/202513th28/10%0%0.00
10/07/20266th50/10%29%+0.29