La Chocolatine
4yo Filly · 10-12
Fontainebleau · Prix D'amiens Claiming Chase · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Moulins | 3 | 6th | 1st | +5 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 3 | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |