7
Lozen De Lorme
4yo Filly · 10-5
Fontainebleau · Prix D'amiens Claiming Chase · 2m 1f 196y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.9 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | +4 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | 4 | 15th | 11th | +4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | −1 | ||
| 2025-12-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength39%
Delivery trend +13.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |