4
Makao'k
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Fontainebleau · Prix D'amiens Claiming Chase · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength22%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +3.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Moulins | 3 | +5 | ||
| 2025-12-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-12 | Le Mans | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 41/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -9.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |