1
Maverick'amsyl
4yo Gelding · 11-4
Fontainebleau · Prix D'amiens Claiming Chase · 2m 1f 196y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength79%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +2.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Pau | 3 | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 4 | 5th | 1st | +4 |
| 2025-09-09 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |