3

Pacha Des Beaux

4yo Gelding · 11-2

Fontainebleau · Prix D'amiens Claiming Chase · 2m 1f 196y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼4
Strength94%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 04/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1474/05C?3 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 147 · HIGHER CLASS30/0535 @ Compiegne 09/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 147 · HIGHER CLASS9/095projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Compiegne58th5th+3
2026-05-30Auteuil310th5th+5
2026-05-04Compiegne?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0530/059/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +38.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/202610th8/158%31%-0.27
30/05/202610th25/10%36%+0.36
09/09/20268th20/10%50%+0.50