6
Petite Theyss
4yo Filly · 10-10
Fontainebleau · Prix D'amiens Claiming Chase · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 3 | +5 | ||
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | 4 | +4 | ||
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-5 · tight 65/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -19.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 56% | +0.00 |