6
Filippino
5yo Gelding · 10-12
Fontainebleau · Prix Exposition Paul Tavernier Chase · 2m 3f 30y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | Pau | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Pau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-3 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/10/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |