4
Harthur Des Obeaux
5yo Gelding · 11-0
Fontainebleau · Prix Exposition Paul Tavernier Chase · 2m 3f 30y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength9%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Saint-Malo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Craon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 20/04/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 76% | +0.24 |
| 08/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 31/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |