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9

L'enfant Jesus

5yo Gelding · 10-7

Fontainebleau · Prix Exposition Paul Tavernier Chase · 2m 3f 30y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14518/0433 @ La Teste De Buch 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 15015/0533 @ Dieppe 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 15430/083projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Dieppe34th4th0
2026-05-15La Teste De Buch31st1st0
2026-04-18Lyon-Parilly33rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0415/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -53.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20263rd20/10%85%+0.85
15/05/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
30/08/20264th3/184%63%-0.22