3
Lady Ange Win
5yo Filly · 11-2
Fontainebleau · Prix Exposition Paul Tavernier Chase · 2m 3f 30y
#1
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 15/03/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 22/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |