7
Le Roi Loth
5yo Gelding · 10-7
Fontainebleau · Prix Exposition Paul Tavernier Chase · 2m 3f 30y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-29 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/12/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 29/12/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 22/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 65% | +0.38 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |