3
Of Corse I Can
9yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 72
Fontwell · KSR Lighting Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase · 3m 1f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fontwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Uttoxeter | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Cartmel | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Market Rasen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Wincanton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/10/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 04/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |