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7

Aquaman

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Fontwell · Finbarr OSullivan 21st Carpe Diem Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cracksman gelding who showed useful form in a trio of Flat starts in Germany during early 2025. Not at same level in pair of starts earlier this year, third in a Saint-Cloud claimer (12.4f) on final start for Henk Grewe in May. Still, another to note in betting now hurdling for new stable.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Saint-Cloud 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f94y Ver 119 · HIGHER CLASS15/053
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15Saint-Cloud33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength51%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20263rd7/491%78%-0.13