10

Lakeview Lass

5yo Mare · 10-9

Fontwell · Finbarr OSullivan 21st Carpe Diem Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Always behind in a pair of bumpers but offered a glimmer of promise on second hurdles start when sixth of 14 in a Chepstow maiden (2m) in April. Needs another run for a mark and she's the type her yard does well with in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Exeter 05/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m161y Sft 1495/1255 @ Taunton 26/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m104y Goo 14926/0254 @ Chepstow 11/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 2m16y Goo 15411/0444 @ Chepstow 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m16y Gd 15124/044projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-24Chepstow46th6th0
2026-04-11Chepstow49th9th0
2026-02-26Taunton59th10th−1
2025-12-05Exeter514th15th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1226/0211/0424/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 41/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +15.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/12/202514th18/15%7%+0.02
26/02/20269th150/10%27%+0.27
11/04/20269th125/10%0%0.00
24/04/20266th300/10%62%+0.62