Antiquarian
3yo Filly · 10-7
Fontwell · Nick Peacock Eighty Shades Of Grey Birthday Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Kempton | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 200/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/08/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |