3
Irish Fusilier
3yo Gelding · 11-0
Fontwell · Nick Peacock Eighty Shades Of Grey Birthday Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Goodwood | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Leicester | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Bath | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Sandown | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |