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Royal Sapphire

3yo Gelding · 11-7

Fontwell · Nick Peacock Eighty Shades Of Grey Birthday Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden on the Flat (best effort at 12.5f) who belied a market drift when making a winning yard/hurdles debut in a C&D juvenile 11 days ago, leading under pressure between last 2 and driven clear. Can make his presence felt again under a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 9.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 13423/01C8C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 134C8 @ Dundalk 13/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m Std 13413/02C8C7 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f133y Goo 138C7 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 13120/05C7C8 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f120y Yie 134BHA55 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 55 · 1m3f210y Goo 125 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 55 par10/0655OR 55C8 @ Limerick 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 50 · 1m4f70y Sft 133 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 50 par4 @ Fontwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m1f162y Gd 15622/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Fontwell41st1st0
2026-06-19Limerick?3rd8th−4
2026-06-10LimerickBHA5512th14th−2
2026-06-01Gowran Park?10th15th−4
2026-05-20Gowran Park?7th10th−3
2026-05-08Ballinrobe?10th13th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/018/0510/0622/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/202611th125/10%17%+0.17
30/01/202613th150/10%8%+0.08
13/02/202611th250/10%9%+0.09
08/05/202610th40/10%0%0.00
20/05/20267th50/10%0%0.00
01/06/202610th200/10%36%+0.36
10/06/202612th66/10%27%+0.27
19/06/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
22/09/20261st20/10%100%+1.00