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Salkadan

3yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 108

Fontwell · Nick Peacock Eighty Shades Of Grey Birthday Juvenile Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/6

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair winner over 11.5f on the Flat who proved much more focused with cheekpieces enlisted (retained) when making second hurdles start a winning one over C&D 5 weeks ago, clear before 2 out and allowed to be eased down. Big player in bid to follow up under a penalty.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength9%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Leicester 22/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS22/0935 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f Sft 1335 @ Southwell 28/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f14y Std 12328/0256 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 64 · 1m3f219y Sta 134 · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Haydock 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 1m3f140y Gd 131 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 66 par9/055OR 665 @ Ffos Las 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 68 · 1m3f209y GS 133 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 68 par4 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 15426/0744 @ Fontwell 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m1f162y Gd 15628/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Fontwell41st1st0
2026-07-26Uttoxeter43rd3rd0
2026-06-04Ffos Las57th8th−1
2026-05-09Haydock51st2nd−1
2026-03-30Kempton62nd4th−2
2026-02-28Southwell57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0930/0326/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength86%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20257th22/10%33%+0.33
20/10/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
28/02/20267th22/10%14%+0.14
30/03/20262nd15/261%90%+0.29
09/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
04/06/20267th7/163%25%-0.38
26/07/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12
28/08/20261st4/696%100%+0.04