6
Majestic Moment
7yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 94
Fontwell · Colin Johnson's 70th Birthday Celebrations Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 104y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Worcester | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-06-06 | Worcester | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Fontwell | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-06 | Fontwell | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Fontwell | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Exeter | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/09/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/09/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |