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King Of The Bronx

5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 103

Fontwell · KSR Lighting, The Ultimate Lighting Solutions Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 162y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shown nothing for a couple of a new handlers since winning a Cork handicap hurdle on final start for Gavin Cromwell last spring.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength14%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 23/11/2024 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR - · 2m148y Sft 15423/11C8C8 @ Cork 08/12/2024 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR - · 1m7f145y Sft 154C8 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2024 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m Yie 15427/12C8BHA94 @ Naas 09/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 94 · 2m7y Sft 152 · below its mark09/03/2025 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Fairyhouse 06/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 92 · 2m Goo 154 · below its mark06/04/2025 · OR 92 par6/0492OR 92BHA92 @ Cork 21/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 92 · 2m Yie 152 · beat its mark21/04/2025 · OR 92 par6 @ Windsor 21/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m2f Sft 134 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 64 par21/076OR 645 @ Kempton 19/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m2f219y Sta 136 · below its mark19/08/2025 · OR 62 par3 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 108 · 2m5f122y Gd 150 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 108 par18/093OR 108projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newton Abbot36th4th+2
2025-08-19Kempton511th11th0
2025-07-21Windsor69th10th−1
2025-04-21CorkBHA921st6th−4
2025-04-06FairyhouseBHA925th10th−4
2025-03-09NaasBHA947th12th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/119/0321/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/202412th100/10%45%+0.45
08/12/202412th250/10%42%+0.42
27/12/202411th150/10%33%+0.33
09/03/20257th9/153%67%+0.14
06/04/20255th5/174%69%-0.04
21/04/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
21/07/20259th20/10%33%+0.33
19/08/202511th20/10%0%0.00
18/09/20266th66/10%0%0.00