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Glance Of Glory

6yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 103

Fontwell · Southern Cranes And Access Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 164y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

52%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Low-mileage 6-y-o who landed back-to-back victories at Worcester last autumn. Shaped as if back in form on return (had breathing operation in interim), finishing 14 lengths third behind subsequent winner at Uttoxeter (2½m). Should be thereabouts if building on that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength40%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 25/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m11y Goo 158 · HIGHER CLASS25/0444 @ Worcester 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m4f Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS26/0945 @ Worcester 22/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 103 · 2m4f Goo 166 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 103 par22/105OR 1034 @ Aintree 06/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 109 · 3m149y Sft 168 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/12/2025 · OR 109 par6/124OR 1094 @ Ascot 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 109 · 2m7f123y Goo 167 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 109 par29/034OR 1094 @ Uttoxeter 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 105 · 2m3f207y Goo 163 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/09/2026 · OR 105 par15/094OR 105projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Uttoxeter43rd2nd+1
2026-03-29Ascot48th7th+1
2026-02-17Newbury4+1
2025-12-06Aintree44th3rd+1
2025-10-22Worcester51st1st0
2025-09-26Worcester41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0426/0922/106/1229/0315/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 61/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%

Delivery trend -13.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20253rd8/158%75%+0.17
26/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
22/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
06/12/20254th4/179%57%-0.22
29/03/20268th5/174%0%-0.74
15/09/20263rd5/174%82%+0.08