IvyArcIvyArc
2

Mr Mcwhinny

8yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 98

Fontwell · Southern Cranes And Access Handicap Hurdle · 2m 5f 164y

#2

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

47%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrived since joining current yard. Cruised clear to make it a hat-trick (fourth win from last 5 chase starts) in a small field at Newton Abbot (21f) last time. Reverts to hurdling for first time in 16 months in bid for a 4-timer and has a 4 lb lower mark to work with in this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA80 @ Punchestown 07/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR 80 · 2m7f180y Goo 148 · below its mark07/06/2025 · OR 80 par7/0680OR 805 @ Cartmel 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 3m1f107y Goo 154 · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 86 par5 @ Cartmel 21/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 86 · 2m5f34y Sft 159 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 86 par21/075OR 865 @ Uttoxeter 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 78 · 3m10y Gd 146 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 78 par5 @ Market Rasen 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 2m1f43y Gd 146 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 78 par18/075OR 785 @ Worcester 19/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 2m110y Gd 151 · beat its mark19/08/2026 · OR 83 par5 @ Newton Abbot 07/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 2m4f216y Gd 158 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 83 par7/095OR 835 @ Sedgefield 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 83 · 2m3f65y Goo 152 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 83 par5 @ Newton Abbot 18/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 83 · 2m4f216y Gd 161 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 83 par18/095OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Newton Abbot51st1st0
2026-09-14Sedgefield51st1st0
2026-09-07Newton Abbot51st1st0
2026-08-19Worcester54th4th0
2026-07-18Market Rasen51st1st0
2026-06-13Uttoxeter54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0613/067/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 78/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength95%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 4.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20257th8/158%67%+0.09
19/07/20255th8/158%50%-0.08
21/07/20257th11/142%33%-0.09
13/06/20264th6/492%67%-0.25
18/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
19/08/20264th15/890%67%-0.23
07/09/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
14/09/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
18/09/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03