Callero
4yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 74
Fontwell · KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 29y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Plumpton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Newbury | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Lingfield | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/01/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/02/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/02/2026 | 9th | 500/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/03/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |