County Champs
7yo Gelding · 11-11 · OR 92
Fontwell · KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 29y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Fontwell | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-23 | Worcester | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | BHA84 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-10-06 | Tipperary | BHA83 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-07-11 | Kilbeggan | BHA84 | 8th | 12th | −3 |
| 2025-06-07 | Punchestown | BHA80 | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2024 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 05/11/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 29/11/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 10/12/2024 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 81% | +0.15 |
| 14/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 94% | +0.10 |
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 93% | +0.40 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |