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8

Freddie Fleetfoot

8yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 73

Fontwell · KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 29y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden but made the frame at Wincanton (2m) in November. Raced 3 times in points in the spring (runner-up first occasion). Has work to do if he's to get off the mark here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Taunton 27/04/2023 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 67 · 2m3f1y GS 142 · beat its mark27/04/2023 · OR 67 par27/045OR 674 @ Exeter 13/12/2023 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 67 · 2m161y Sft 158 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/12/2023 · OR 67 par4 @ Taunton 30/12/2023 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 2m3f1y GS 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/12/2023 · OR 67 par30/124OR 675 @ Wincanton 01/02/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 74 · 2m3f179y Goo 142 · below its mark01/02/2024 · OR 74 par5 @ Taunton 11/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 74 · 2m104y Sft 144 · beat its mark11/04/2024 · OR 74 par11/045OR 745 @ Kempton 22/04/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 76 · 2m Gd 146 · beat its mark22/04/2024 · OR 76 par5 @ Wincanton 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m7f50y Gd 144 · beat its mark20/11/2025 · OR 73 par20/115OR 735 @ Taunton 11/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 73 · 2m104y Goo 142 · beat its mark11/12/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Wincanton 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 73 · 1m7f50y Sft 142 · beat its mark15/01/2026 · OR 73 par15/015OR 73projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-15Wincanton56th6th0
2025-12-11Taunton58th8th0
2025-11-20Wincanton54th4th0
2025-10-18Stratford50
2024-04-22Kempton54th4th0
2024-04-11Taunton52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/041/0220/1115/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20237th80/10%50%+0.50
13/12/202312th200/10%21%+0.21
30/12/20232nd66/10%83%+0.83
01/02/202410th14/126%10%-0.16
11/04/20242nd13/266%91%+0.25
22/04/20244th16/583%63%-0.21
20/11/20254th28/10%57%+0.57
11/12/20258th11/142%42%-0.00
15/01/20266th12/137%58%+0.21