7
Ghost Jury
7yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 75
Fontwell · KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 29y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Worcester | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Newton Abbot | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Exeter | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Worcester | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/08/2024 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |
| 07/05/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 24/06/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |