5
No Mean Feat
7yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 76
Fontwell · KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 29y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Fontwell | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Fontwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Taunton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Stratford | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Newbury | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Fontwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 60/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2024 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 20/07/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 30/08/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 24/09/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 22/09/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |