One For Rian
6yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 88
Fontwell · KEP Communications Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 29y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 9.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Chepstow | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Huntingdon | 4 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-13 | Chepstow | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-10-26 | Fontwell | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +23.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 13/02/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 02/04/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |