2
Balko D'ange
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 129
Gowran Park · Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed) · 2m 60y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Punchestown | 1 | 14th | 14th | −0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Cheltenham | 1 | −0 | ||
| 2026-02-01 | Leopardstown | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Navan | BHA131 | −12 | ||
| 2025-12-27 | Leopardstown | BHA130 | 3rd | 18th | −12 |
| 2025-11-17 | Navan | BHA123 | 1st | 15th | −12 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 23/02/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 17/03/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 01/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 72% | +0.46 |
| 28/04/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |