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6

Samui

7yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 131

Gowran Park · Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed) · 2m 60y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed the benefit of a recent run on the level when second of 6 in conditions event at Down Royal (3m, good) in August. Not in the same form at Galway, however, and this return to 2m isn't sure to suit.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲6
Strength21%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today: 1
Class gap: -6.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2025 · Pos 17th of 26 · OR 136 · 2m5f GS 151 · below its mark12/03/2025 · OR 136 par12/031OR 1361 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR 131 · 2m149y Yie 150 · below its mark29/04/2025 · OR 131 par1 @ Down Royal 30/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m Gd 132 · beat its mark30/05/2025 · OR 104 par30/051OR 1042 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 102 · 1m6f34y Goo 135 · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 102 par2 @ Royal Ascot 21/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 102 · 2m5f143y GF 130 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 102 par21/062OR 1021 @ York 12/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 103 · 1m5f188y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 103 parBHA104 @ Killarney 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 104 · 2m180y Gd 161 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 104 par21/08104OR 104BHA131 @ Down Royal 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 131 · 3m Goo 154 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 131 parBHA131 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 131 · 2m5f129y Yie 154 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 131 par7/09131OR 131projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA1315th20th−12
2026-08-28Down RoyalBHA1312nd17th−12
2026-08-21KillarneyBHA1044th16th−10
2025-07-12York12nd2nd+0
2025-06-21Royal Ascot22nd3rd−1
2025-06-17Royal Ascot23rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0317/0621/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-6 · tight 52/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -6.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/202517th28/10%36%+0.36
29/04/20257th16/116%63%+0.47
30/05/20255th9/276%43%-0.33
17/06/20253rd20/10%87%+0.87
21/06/20252nd10/382%88%+0.05
12/07/20252nd16/116%80%+0.64
21/08/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
28/08/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
07/09/20265th13/266%43%-0.23