6
Like An Ocean
4yo Filly · 10-7 · OR 98
Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) · 2m 60y
#6
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 15.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Clonmel | ? | 13th | 21th | −7 |
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | BHA100 | 7th | 18th | −9 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | ? | 7th | 15th | −7 |
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -25.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/10/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |