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Mino Des Mottes

4yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 125

Gowran Park · BOYLE Sports Novice Hurdle (Grade 3) · 2m 60y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on previous promise to score on yard debut at Bellewstown (17f) in July and has shown even better form in defeat subsequently, including when third of 13 in 2m handicap at Listowel last week. Cheekpieces on for 1st time and seems sure to give another good account.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 9.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 31/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m105y Yie 15431/12C8C8 @ Punchestown 12/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m35y Sft 161C8 @ Punchestown 04/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 2m Sft 1544/02C81 @ Cheltenham 10/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 22 · OR 126 · 2m87y GS 156 · below its mark10/03/2026 · OR 126 parC8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 121 · 2m70y Yie 161 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 121 par5/04C8OR 121C8 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 119 · 2m1f40y Gd 154 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 119 parC8 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 123 · 2m130y Gd 161 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 123 par27/07C8OR 123C8 @ Kilbeggan 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 123 · 2m2f200y Goo 163 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 123 par1 @ Listowel 24/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 123 · 2m Goo 156 · beat its mark24/09/2026 · OR 123 par24/091OR 123projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-24Listowel13rd3rd0
2026-08-21Kilbeggan?2nd10th−7
2026-07-27Galway?2nd10th−7
2026-07-04Bellewstown?1st9th−7
2026-04-05Cork?2nd10th−7
2026-03-10Cheltenham113th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1210/0327/0724/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/12/20254th7/491%75%-0.16
12/01/20265th15/261%71%+0.11
04/02/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
10/03/202613th50/10%43%+0.43
05/04/20262nd4/797%93%-0.04
04/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/07/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
21/08/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
24/09/20263rd13/266%83%+0.18