12
Better Times
6yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 108
Gowran Park · Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m 40y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA109 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA110 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Punchestown | BHA111 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-14 | Clonmel | BHA111 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Downpatrick | BHA105 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 02/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 65% | +0.07 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 79% | +0.21 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |