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9

Butter Fingers

5yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 111

Gowran Park · Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m 40y

#10

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Justified support when winning 12-runner handicap chase at Wexford in May by 1¼ lengths from Tequila Talkin'. Bounced back from below-par effort at Galway when 1¾ lengths second of 13 to Soldante at Kilbeggan 29 days ago. Needs to improve on previous hurdling efforts to feature, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Listowel 25/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 113 · 2m Goo 140 · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 113 par25/091OR 113C0 @ Gowran Park 08/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 157C0 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 2m4f150y Sft 1586/12C?C8 @ Tramore 01/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 103 · 1m7f180y Sft 155 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 103 parBHA110 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 110 · 2m2f180y Sft 166 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 110 par4/03110OR 110BHA112 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR 112 · 2m3f Yie 143 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 112 parBHA103 @ Wexford 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 103 · 2m Goo 159 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 103 par7/05103OR 103BHA109 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 109 · 2m2f54y Gd 165 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 109 parBHA109 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 109 · 2m4f95y Goo 145 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 109 par4/09109OR 109projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA1092nd2nd0
2026-07-28GalwayBHA1097th7th0
2026-05-07WexfordBHA1031st1st0
2026-04-05CorkBHA1126th6th0
2026-03-04NaasBHA1103rd3rd0
2026-01-01Tramore?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/091/017/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 87/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/09/202515th25/10%13%+0.13
08/11/20255th12/137%75%+0.38
06/12/202510th150/10%40%+0.40
01/01/20264th14/126%63%+0.36
04/03/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64
05/04/20266th22/10%72%+0.72
07/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
28/07/20267th14/126%68%+0.42
04/09/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55