2
Cobra Queen
7yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 124
Gowran Park · Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m 40y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Ballinrobe | BHA118 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | BHA118 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA116 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA117 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-08 | Wincanton | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 92% | +0.50 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |